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Trump banks on having millions to spend on wall

Don­ald Trump is plan­ning to re­duce for­eign aid and state de­part­ment fi­nanc­ing and in­crease spend­ing on de­fence and the con­struc­tion of the wall on the Mex­i­can bor­der ac­cord­ing to his bud­get pro­posal for the 2020 fis­cal year (start­ing Oc­to­ber 1). The pro­posal in­cludes 8.6 bil­lion dol­lars for the wall and a 5% cut in do­mes­tic spend­ing, all on the basis of an es­ti­mated eco­nomic growth of 3.2% this year. In terms of state de­part­ments, de­fence is the only one to re­ceive more fund­ing; it has been al­loted 750 bil­lion dol­lars, 4.7% more than in 2019. The pro­posal reads more like a de­c­la­ra­tion of pri­or­i­ties than an ac­tual bud­get, since it does not have much chance of get­ting through a di­vided con­gress with Re­pub­li­cans con­trol­ling the sen­ate and De­moc­rats con­trol­ling the house of rep­re­sen­ta­tives. In­deed de­mo­c­rat lead­ers have warned the pres­i­dent that the con­gress war over fi­nanc­ing the wall, which led to a five-week par­tial clo­sure of the fed­eral ad­min­is­tra­tion, could hap­pen again.

The pro­pos­als’ cal­cu­la­tions are based on op­ti­mistic pro­jec­tions: they count on an es­ti­mated growth of 3.2% this year, 3.1% next year and 3% for 2021. And these es­ti­mates con­trast with those of the Fed­eral Re­serve, which pre­dict a grad­ual slow­down in the econ­omy this year (2.3%) and in 2020 (2%) .

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